第 85 节
作者:双曲线      更新:2022-04-14 11:08      字数:9320
  of modern improvements that the cumbrous and complicated ironclads
  cannot be repaired in a few days after an action with the enemy by their
  own carpenters and crews; like the wooden vessels of old; but that docks
  must be within reach; and all the appliances of the engineers' yards and
  an arsenal。 Without this advantage; Famagousta would be a useless
  acquisition; and Cyprus would be worthless as a strategical position。
  In my opinion the entire question hangs upon the integrity of Turkey as
  an ally。 England has done but little for her; and we may expect too
  much。 The Turks are thoroughly aware that an Anglo…Turkish defensive
  alliance; and the 〃Protectorate of Asia Minor by Great Britain;〃 are
  political arrangements based upon self…interest; for which they owe us
  no personal gratitude; in the hour of their distress we declined
  material assistance; but seized the opportunity for occupying one of
  their important positionsCyprus; their only satisfaction remained in
  the knowledge that they had 〃done us〃 in the bargain。 We have quickly
  discovered the painful fact; and one party to the alliance already feels
  aggrieved; and seeks for an alteration in the terms of the Convention。
  I cannot conceive any more dangerous risk to friendships than an
  interference in the private affairs of individuals; or in the public
  administration of governments。 We have assumed the enormous
  responsibility of the Protectorate of Asia Minor under conditions which
  we must know will never be fulfilled; Turkey promises to reform the
  abuses of her internal administration; &c。 &c。! Anybody who knows Turkey
  must be aware that such a reform is impossible: the honest
  administrative material does not exist in the Ottoman Empire; and the
  promises of the Porte have been tolerably exemplified since the Crimean
  war。 Under these circumstances the Anglo…Turkish alliance is in a
  questionable position。 We have assumed the Protectorate of Asia Minor
  conditionally; we occupy Cyprus conditionally; and should Turkey fail to
  perform her promises in the government of her Asiatic provinces; we have
  a back…door for an escape from our onerous engagement。 Unfortunately
  English diplomacy is celebrated for back…doors。 In the Berlin Treaty we
  entered Cyprus through a back…door; and we may possibly retire by the
  same exit; but there is little doubt that the Turk does not believe in
  our professed determination to defend him by force of arms in the event
  of a future conflict between Russia and the Sultan in Asia Minor。
  Notwithstanding our professed sincerity; the Turk has become an
  unbeliever in the faith of treaties and political engagements; he
  believes most thoroughly that should 〃British interests〃 require the
  sacrifice of honour; England will somehow or other manage to slip
  through the Ottoman fingers; and escape from her alliance when called
  upon to meet Russia in the field。 Of course the ignorant Turk is wrong;
  and his suspicions are unfounded。
  With a mutual want of confidence in the integrity of an alliance; it
  would hardly be surprising should the Sultan attach more importance to
  the practical force of Russia than to the moral rectitude and high
  political principles of England。 The power of Russia has been felt; and
  the position of European Turkey is that of a dislocated and dismembered
  Empire; which upon the next explosion will reduce the Sultan to the
  small extremity on the Bosphorus between Constantinople and the lines of
  Tchataldja。 Turkey will cease to be a European Power; and upon the
  outbreak of the next Russian war she will be discovered as represented
  by Asia Minor; in which the claws of the Eagle are already fixed in the
  vital pointsBatoum; Kars; and Ardahan。 A Russian advance from those
  positions will; according to the terms of the alliance; compel Great
  Britain to exhibit herself as the champion of Turkish rights in armed
  defence of Asia Minor。
  When we reflect upon the prodigious responsibility of such an alliance
  with a crippled Power that has been completely subdued; the victorious
  army of the Czar retired from the gates of the capital; the nation
  bankrupt beyond all hopes of liquidation; the various states in chronic
  discontent both in Europe and in Asia; and the claims of Greece
  threatening to explode the combustible materials; we may well appreciate
  the back…door that has so frequently afforded a retreat from an
  untenable position。
  If it is necessary for England to form a defensive alliance with Turkey
  as a crippled Power; with Russia actually established in Asia Minor; why
  should we have waited until Turkey was mortally stricken; when by an
  earlier alliance we could have at least saved Asia Minor in its
  integrity? We have let the lion into the house with a boast that we will
  turn him out in the event of further roaring; instead of having
  prevented his entry in the first instance。
  Under all the circumstances of the risk and responsibility assumed by
  England in a defensive alliance with Turkey under the title of a
  Protectorate of Asia Minor; the Cyprus Convention is highly unfavourable
  in its conditions。 The island should have been simply conveyed from
  Turkey and transferred as a free gift to England; as a position
  necessary for her occupation under the probable contingencies of the
  Anglo…Turkish alliance; and it should have at once become a portion of
  the British Empire。 Had this course been pursued a mutual confidence
  would have been established; on the other hand; all back…doors would
  have been sealed; as we should have been bound by all the laws of honour
  to defend Turkey to the last extremity in Asia Minor。
  Russia; in Kars; occupies a position which affords an unbounded horizon
  for political intrigue。 The various Turkish Pachas and other district
  authorities throughout Asia Minor have witnessed the irresistible
  advance of Russia; while England stood afar off; and only assisted
  Turkey with her good counsel。 The same authorities now see Russia in
  possession; while England; who has not assisted during the bloody
  struggle; appears upon the scene as a political Paul Pry; and intrudes
  upon the mysteries that surround Pachas; Governors; and various
  functionaries; who; from the highest to the lowest official; mainly
  exist upon extortion。
  It is hardly necessary to explain that British assistance in such a form
  will be most unwelcome; and will increase our reputation for
  intermeddling while in the hour of extremity we withhold the required
  aid。 Any interference on our part with the administration of Asia Minor
  will cause an extreme jealousy and suspicion throughout all classes of
  Turkish officials; who will be rendered the more amenable to the guiles
  of Russian intrigues from Kars and Ardahan。 A very slight knowledge of
  Turkish character would induce the natural conclusion。 The English would
  be suspected of coveting Asia Minor; as they had already obtained
  Cyprus; and Russia would have gained her end in destroying all
  confidence that might possibly have existed; and thus endanger the
  defensive alliance。
  There are serious risks that might enforce the advance of Russian troops
  beyond the defined frontier。 Already there are reports of general
  discontent and threatened disturbances。 In the event of a mutiny of
  Turkish troops on the Russian border; the Russians might be invited to
  assist by the Pacha in command。 Sometimes such revolts are factitious;
  for political purposes。 In all cases the position of Russia in Asia
  Minor is one of extreme danger to Turkey; and it is far from improbable
  that activity on her side; and passiveness upon ours; may terminate in a
  friendship between the Russians and the Turks to the detriment of
  British interests; and to the confusion of the assumed Protectorate。
  This document distinctly states:If 〃Batoum; Ardahan; Kars; or any of
  them shall be retained by Russia; and if any further attempt shall be
  made at any future time by Russia to take possession of any further
  territories of his Imperial Majesty the Sultan in Asia as fixed by the
  definitive treaty of peace; England engages to join his Imperial Majesty
  the Sultan in defending them by force of arms。〃
  In a despatch from Lord Salisbury to Sir A。 H。 Layard; dated 30th May;
  1878; these ominous words are contained:
  〃Even if it be certain that Batoum and Ardahan
  and Kars will not become the base from which
  emissaries of intrigue will issue forth; to be in due
  time followed by invading armies; the mere retention
  of them by Russia will exercise a powerful influence
  in disintegrating the Asiatic dominion of the Porte。〃
  In the same lengthy despatch the conditions are described which Turkey
  must fulfil in reforming the abuses of the present administration; &c。
  &c。; and there can be no doubt that the British government contemplated
  the necessity of supplanting a considerable number of the peculant
  Turkish officials by experienced English officers; whose supervision
  would ensure the necessary reforms。 If such a course should have been
  accepted by the Porte there could be no question of the salutary effect;
  as the presence of British officials in actual authority throughout the
  provinces of Asia Minor would have proved to the various races our